Unión Comercio vs Sporting Cristal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal
Result
0:12
27/10/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
420
Shots on Goal
116
Shots off Goal
34
Free Kicks
214
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
08
Throw-ins
196
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Fouls
412

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 7)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Cauteruccio M. , Gonzalez S. (A),
  • 7', 0 - 2, Gonzales C. ,
  • 10', 0 - 3, Cauteruccio M. , Gonzalez S. (A),
  • 18', 0 - 4, Pacheco F. , Gonzalez S. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 5, Cauteruccio M. , Gonzalez S. (A),
  • 31', Javier Navea , Ferreyra K. ,
  • 37', 0 - 6, Gonzales C. , Sosa L. (A),
  • 43', 0 - 7, Cauteruccio M. , Pacheco F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 46', Torres J. , Ugarelli G. ,
  • 46', Cauteruccio M. , Avila I. ,
  • 46', Gonzales C. , Iberico L. ,
  • 46', Pacheco F. , Castro M. ,
  • 46', Cazonatti G. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 46', Vinces A. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 47', 0 - 8, Iberico L. ,
  • 53', 0 - 9, Iberico L. , Gonzalez S. (A),
  • 64', Gonzalez S. , Wisdom I. ,
  • 67', 0 - 10, Alarcon J. , Avila I. (A),
  • 70', 0 - 11, Avila I. ,
  • 85', 0 - 12, Alarcon J. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
5%
Draw
10.5%
Sporting Cristal
84.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 19.7% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7% 19.3% 69.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Comercio's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Comercio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    18.93
    (7.76)
    9.01
    (4.73)
    1.1
    (1.36)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 1.
    • Unión Comercio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting Cristal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Sporting Cristal is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Unión Comercio: Barrios I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cordova M. (Hip Injury) Diaz L. (Injury) Lutiger R. (Ankle Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21:41 (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Unión Comercio 5:1
    02.07.2023 Sporting Cristal - Unión Comercio 3:0
    13.05.2023 Unión Comercio - Sporting Cristal 1:6
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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