Unión La Calera vs Deportes Concepción – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 9
  • Referee: Araos M. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports Premium

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.320.83
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
33
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
88
Passes
79% (291/367)83% (396/479)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.320.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.15
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
96
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
75
Passes
79% (291/367)83% (396/479)
Long passes
46% (30/65)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
60% (49/81)64% (55/86)
Crosses
30% (8/27)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.57
Throw ins
2615
Fouls
57
Tackles
73% (8/11)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
1930
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.150.72
Goals prevented
0.15-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Mendez K. , Diaz C. (A),
  • 58', Valencia Rossel L. , Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ,
  • 58', Sepulveda N. , Henriquez J. ,
  • 58', Jara A. , Gillard A. ,
  • 66', Campos M. , Pozzo F. ,
  • 72', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 🟨,
  • 74', Diaz C. 🟨,
  • 75', Cavalleri M. , Espinoza E. ,
  • 76', Henriquez J. 🟨,
  • 78', Oyarzo Munoz B. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 78', Soto J. , Hiriart M. ,
  • 88', Larrivey J. , Escobar B. ,
  • 89', Escobar B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diaz C. , Moya C. ,

Chances of winning


Unión La Calera
42.4%
Draw
29.5%
Deportes Concepción
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 28.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 27.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Unión La Calera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.18)
    3.19
    (3.23)
    3.33
    (3.18)
    6.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión La Calera will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
    • Recent performances by Unión La Calera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportes Concepción is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Unión La Calera could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Latest results of Deportes Concepción
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo Colo86029:4518
    2Limache952220:91117
    3U. Catolica952223:14917
    4Nublense944110:6416
    5Huachipato950415:12315
    6U. De Concepcion94238:14-614
    7U. De Chile934210:6413
    8O'Higgins941412:14-213
    9Coquimbo840411:10112
    10La Serena933310:11-112
    11Everton93249:9011
    12Palestino932413:17-411
    13A. Italiano931511:11010
    14Cobresal931514:17-310
    15Union La Calera92167:18-117
    16D. Concepcion91174:14-104

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso