Unión La Calera vs Deportes Concepción – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 9
  • Referee: Araos M. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports Premium

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.320.83
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
33
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
88
Passes
79% (291/367)83% (396/479)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.320.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.15
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
96
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
75
Passes
79% (291/367)83% (396/479)
Long passes
46% (30/65)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
60% (49/81)64% (55/86)
Crosses
30% (8/27)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.57
Throw ins
2615
Fouls
57
Tackles
73% (8/11)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
1930
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.150.72
Goals prevented
0.15-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Mendez K. , Diaz C. (A),
  • 58', Valencia Rossel L. , Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ,
  • 58', Sepulveda N. , Henriquez J. ,
  • 58', Jara A. , Gillard A. ,
  • 66', Campos M. , Pozzo F. ,
  • 72', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 🟨,
  • 74', Diaz C. 🟨,
  • 75', Cavalleri M. , Espinoza E. ,
  • 76', Henriquez J. 🟨,
  • 78', Oyarzo Munoz B. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 78', Soto J. , Hiriart M. ,
  • 88', Larrivey J. , Escobar B. ,
  • 89', Escobar B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diaz C. , Moya C. ,

Chances of winning


Unión La Calera
42.4%
Draw
29.5%
Deportes Concepción
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 28.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 27.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Unión La Calera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.18)
    3.19
    (3.23)
    3.33
    (3.18)
    6.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Deportes Concepción?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión La Calera will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
    • Recent performances by Unión La Calera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportes Concepción is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Unión La Calera could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Latest results of Deportes Concepción
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo Colo1180314:7724
    2Limache1163225:111421
    3Huachipato1161418:14419
    4O'Higgins1161417:16119
    5U. Catolica1152424:17717
    6U. De Chile1145211:6517
    7Nublense1145211:9217
    8Coquimbo1151515:15016
    9Everton1143412:10215
    10La Serena1135313:14-114
    11Palestino1142514:18-414
    12U. De Concepcion114259:19-1014
    13A. Italiano1132615:16-111
    14Cobresal1131717:23-610
    15Union La Calera1131710:21-1110
    16D. Concepcion112278:17-98

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso