Ñublense vs Unión La Calera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Ñublense - Unión La Calera
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 10
  • Referee: Millas N. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.37
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
80% (386/484)79% (298/377)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.68
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
77
Passes
80% (386/484)79% (298/377)
Long passes
50% (25/50)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
66% (82/124)61% (62/102)
Crosses
43% (13/30)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.59
Throw-ins
3117
Fouls
77
Tackles
77% (20/26)87% (13/15)
Duels won
5838
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.681.17
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Graciani G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mateos F. , Valencia E. ,
  • 63', Rubio P. , Sosa G. ,
  • 63', Plaza M. , Rozas I. ,
  • 63', Molina L. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 72', De Los Santos E. 🟨,
  • 72', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. , Lobos F. ,
  • 72', Yanez F. , Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Saez S. , Saldias J. (A),
  • 80', Graciani G. , Sanchez P. ,
  • 84', De Los Santos E. , Britez A. ,
  • 90+5', Saez S. , Monreal D. ,
  • 90+8', Monreal D. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 1 - 1, Sosa G. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Brunet N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ñublense
47.1%
Draw
28.8%
Unión La Calera
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 28.9% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 28.5% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Ñublense - Unión La Calera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.04)
    3.26
    (3.2)
    3.89
    (3.56)
    6.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Unión La Calera?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Ñublense has had a series of home games.
    • Ñublense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Unión La Calera were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Ñublense - Unión La Calera 0:1
    05.05.2024 Unión La Calera - Ñublense 2:1
    15.08.2023 Ñublense - Unión La Calera 1:1
    26.02.2023 Unión La Calera - Ñublense 1:1
    Latest results of Ñublense
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo18125128:91941
    2U. De Chile17112439:162335
    3A. Italiano18104430:21934
    4Palestino1795324:15932
    5O'Higgins1776417:18-127
    6U. Catolica1775523:18526
    7Cobresal1675421:18326
    8Colo Colo1774627:19825
    9Union La Calera1764716:18-222
    10Huachipato1763823:28-521
    11Nublense1748517:24-720
    12Everton1746719:26-718
    13La Serena18521120:32-1217
    14Limache18351018:26-814
    15U. Espanola18411316:31-1513
    16Deportes Iquique17231217:36-199

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso