Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (469/555) | 76% (248/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (469/555) | 76% (248/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (64/113) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Cespedes D. 🟨,
- 63', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 63', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
- 63', Soto J. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
- 63', Mendez K. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
- 71', Oyarzo Munoz B. 🟨,
- 71', Plaza M. ↓, Molina Canto L. ↑,
- 77', Rivera M. 🟨,
- 81', Rivera M. ↓, Salomon C. ↑,
- 81', Valdes A. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
- 88', Pozzo F. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
- 88', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Molina Canto L. ⚽,
- 90+1', Molina Canto L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera
35.6% | Draw
27.9% | Ñublense
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ñublense's recent form is better than expected.
Unión La Calera - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(1.82) |
3.35 ↓
(3.68) |
2.56 ↓
(3.87) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Unión La Calera (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 3.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Ñublense?
Unión La Calera has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Unión La Calera?
Ñublense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Ñublense were as follows:
26.10.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Ñublense
3:0
04.05.2025
Ñublense
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
29.09.2024
Ñublense
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
05.05.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Ñublense
2:1
15.08.2023
Ñublense
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union La Calera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nublense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | U. De Chile | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Palestino | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | La Serena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Everton | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
