Result
1:0
14/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
- Referee: Saravia B. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/451) | 79% (299/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/451) | 79% (299/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (91/130) | 59% (58/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 90% (18/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Diaz C. 🟨,
- 22', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 46', Leon J. ↓, Zuniga D. ↑,
- 60', Lopez F. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
- 64', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 71', Yanez F. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
- 71', Moya C. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
- 75', Diaz C. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
- 75', Saez S. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
- 75', Meza N. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 75', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽, Parra P. (A),
- 90+4', Ulloa D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino
48.9% | Draw
27% | Unión La Calera
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Palestino - Unión La Calera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(1.93) |
3.44 ↓
(3.55) |
3.9 ↑
(3.72) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Unión La Calera?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1.
- Palestino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Unión La Calera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.
- In this match Palestino is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Unión La Calera?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Palestino?
Unión La Calera has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Unión La Calera were as follows:
18.08.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Palestino
2:1
17.03.2024
Palestino
-
Unión La Calera
0:0
06.08.2023
Unión La Calera
-
Palestino
2:3
20.02.2023
Palestino
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
| 9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Nublense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
| 13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Limache | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
