Result
1:2
29/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 22
- Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (262/357) | 74% (280/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (262/357) | 74% (280/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (32/75) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (81/141) | 61% (68/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Garguez Gomez I. A. ⚽, Abrigo J. (A),
- 23', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Moya C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 47', Carrasco B. 🟨,
- 57', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Saez S. ⚽, Campos Mosqueira F. (A),
- 67', Marabel J. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 78', Benitez J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 84', Carrasco B. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 84', Zuniga D. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 85', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
- 85', Benegas L. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
- 85', Mendez K. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
- 88', Brunet N. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Arias J. (Pen),
- 90+1', Suarez C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Encinas A. 🟥,
- 90+2', Parra P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Diaz C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera 29.6% | Draw 29.5% | Palestino 40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)The chances for Palestino have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Unión La Calera - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.1 ↓ (3.23) |
3.17 ↑ (3.17) |
2.32 ↑ (2.31) |
6.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
- Unión La Calera is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palestino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palestino might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Palestino?
Unión La Calera has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Unión La Calera?
Palestino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Palestino were as follows:
14.04.2025
Palestino
-
Unión La Calera
1:0
18.08.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Palestino
2:1
17.03.2024
Palestino
-
Unión La Calera
0:0
06.08.2023
Unión La Calera
-
Palestino
2:3
20.02.2023
Palestino
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso