Result
1:1
20/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (145/216) | 82% (337/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (145/216) | 82% (337/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 63% (66/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Zampedri F. (Own goal),
- 26', Zuqui F. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', Valencia J. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 70', Mena E. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 76', Montes C. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 77', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
- 77', Lobos F. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
- 79', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 87', Arancibia Flores S. A. 🟨,
- 90', Moya C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Insaurralde C. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Medel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera
27.7% | Draw
30.3% | Universidad Católica
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.5) |
3.09 ↓
(3.15) |
2.29 ↓
(2.6) |
6.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
- Unión La Calera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Uni Católica's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Universidad Católica?
Unión La Calera has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Unión La Calera?
Universidad Católica has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica were as follows:
21.03.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
10.02.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
2:2
20.07.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
2:0
09.05.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
4:0
10.04.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
0:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 28:46 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
