Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 30
- Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/427) | 64% (161/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/427) | 64% (161/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 27% (13/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (79/124) | 38% (26/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Diaz C. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Bello E. (A),
- 56', Mena E. 🟨,
- 65', Saldias J. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Bello E. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 72', Pastene A. ↓, Campos Mosqueira F. ↑,
- 73', Moya C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 76', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
- 78', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↓, Britez A. ↑,
- 79', Diaz C. ↓, Benegas L. ↑,
- 81', Soto J. 🟨,
- 84', Medel G. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
- 86', Mendez K. 🟨,
- 89', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
- 90+3', Montes C. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 90+3', Zampedri F. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
71.4% | Draw
19.2% | Unión La Calera
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión La Calera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión La Calera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.53) |
4.93 ↑
(3.84) |
9.95 ↑
(6.09) |
6.3%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Universidad Católica will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
- Uni Católica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Unión La Calera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Uni Católica is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:2. (average 1.7:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Unión La Calera?
Universidad Católica has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Universidad Católica?
Unión La Calera has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera were as follows:
20.06.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
1:1
21.03.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
10.02.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
2:2
20.07.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
2:0
09.05.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
4:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union La Calera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nublense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | U. De Chile | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Palestino | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | La Serena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Everton | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
