Result
1:1
20/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.20 | 1.22 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
67% (145/216) | 82% (337/411) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.20 | 1.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.18 | 1.04 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
67% (145/216) | 82% (337/411) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (20/52) | 51% (28/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (33/64) | 63% (66/105) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (7/21) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.32 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 30 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (20/33) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
68 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.04 | 0.18 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Zampedri F. (Own goal),
- 26', Zuqui F. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', Valencia J. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 70', Mena E. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 76', Montes C. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 77', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
- 77', Lobos F. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
- 79', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 87', Arancibia Flores S. A. 🟨,
- 90', Moya C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Insaurralde C. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Medel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera 27.7% | Draw 30.3% | Universidad Católica 41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.32 ↑ (2.5) |
3.09 ↓ (3.15) |
2.29 ↓ (2.6) |
6.2% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
- Unión La Calera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Uni Católica's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Universidad Católica?
Unión La Calera has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Unión La Calera?
Universidad Católica has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica were as follows:
21.03.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
10.02.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
2:2
20.07.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
2:0
09.05.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
4:0
10.04.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
0:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
6 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Colo Colo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 25 |
9 | Union La Calera | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso