Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (265/353) | 76% (295/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (265/353) | 76% (295/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (74/118) | 56% (45/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Barrera L. (A),
- 34', Arce A. 🟨,
- 43', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 45', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 45+4', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Arancibia S. ↑,
- 46', Mena E. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
- 68', Palavecino M. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 69', Barrera L. 🟨,
- 70', Canales A. 🟨,
- 72', Arce A. ↓, Aranguiz C. ↑,
- 77', Castellon G. 🟨,
- 79', Valencia J. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 81', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
- 81', Barrera L. ↓, Calderon F. ↑,
- 85', Morales M. 🟨,
- 85', Rossel J. 🟨,
- 89', Lucero J. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
40.4% | Draw
29.3% | Universidad Católica
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.16) |
3.14 ↓
(3.35) |
3.08 ↓
(3.23) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Universidad de Chile might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Universidad Católica?
Universidad de Chile has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Universidad de Chile?
Universidad Católica has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica were as follows:
26.10.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
1:0
03.05.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Universidad Católica
1:0
19.10.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
18.05.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
27.01.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
1:3
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Limache | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Nublense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | La Serena | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Palestino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | U. De Concepcion | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
