Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.00 | 0.14 |
Ball Possession |
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73% | 27% |
Total shots |
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17 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 2 |
Passes |
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86% (434/503) | 68% (128/189) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.00 | 0.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.01 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
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17 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 2 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 15 |
Passes |
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86% (434/503) | 68% (128/189) |
Long passes |
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73% (22/30) | 27% (12/45) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (90/137) | 47% (17/36) |
Crosses |
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20% (5/25) | 20% (1/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.49 | 0.17 |
Fouls |
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15 | 15 |
Tackles |
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69% (9/13) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
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36 | 38 |
Clearances Total |
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13 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.03 | 1.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Arias J. J. 🟨,
- 34', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
- 34', 🟨,
- 45', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arias J. J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 46', Cardona E. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 46', Hinestroza M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 66', Aragon O. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
- 66', Arce B. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 72', Salazar A. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
- 74', Marquez R. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
- 74', Giraldo J. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
- 77', Barreto O. 🟨,
- 80', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Asprilla D. ⚽, Castro J. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/hv3mvmcm
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional 72.6% | Draw 18.1% | Unión Magdalena 9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.3 ↓ (1.41) |
5.24 ↑ (4.1) |
10.38 ↑ (8.98) |
5.9% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3.
- Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Unión Magdalena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is certain favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Unión Magdalena?
Atlético Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Atlético Nacional?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
07.10.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )