Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/503) | 68% (128/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/503) | 68% (128/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (22/30) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/137) | 47% (17/36) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Arias J. J. 🟨,
- 34', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
- 34', 🟨,
- 45', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arias J. J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 46', Cardona E. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 46', Hinestroza M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 66', Aragon O. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
- 66', Arce B. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 72', Salazar A. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
- 74', Marquez R. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
- 74', Giraldo J. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
- 77', Barreto O. 🟨,
- 80', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Asprilla D. ⚽, Castro J. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/hv3mvmcm
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
72.6% | Draw
18.1% | Unión Magdalena
9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.41) |
5.24 ↑
(4.1) |
10.38 ↑
(8.98) |
5.9%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3.
- Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Unión Magdalena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is certain favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Unión Magdalena?
Atlético Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Atlético Nacional?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
07.10.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
