Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín
Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.65
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
84% (405/480)68% (142/210)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.04
Total shots
179
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
245
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
84% (405/480)68% (142/210)
Long passes
40% (18/45)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
75% (121/161)50% (35/70)
Crosses
30% (8/27)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.34
Throw-ins
2611
Fouls
1412
Tackles
69% (11/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4145
Clearances
933
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.040.21
Goals prevented
-0.960.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
  • 4', Lastre E. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Sandoval L. ,
  • 20', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 37', Sandoval L. 🟥,
  • 38', Ramos N. 🟨,
  • 43', Colpa Bolano R. R. , Marquez R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Contreras J. , Tello J. ,
  • 46', Lastre E. , Aleman J. ,
  • 47', Aleman J. 🟨,
  • 58', Murillo D. , Martinez M. ,
  • 58', Chaverra F. , Garcia M. ,
  • 59', Alvarado J. , Loboa H. ,
  • 59', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 65', Fydriszewski F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 83', Hinojosa R. , Giraldo J. ,
  • 84', Mena Perea E. , Palacios J. ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Perlaza B. , Arizala J. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yt7tep6y

Chances of winning


Unión Magdalena
21.3%
Draw
29.6%
Independiente Medellín
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 30.8% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 29.7% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (4.2)
    3.29
    (3)
    1.93
    (1.96)
    3.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 1 - 50%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 1:1
    08.11.2023 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:4
    17.05.2023 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 4:0
    10.10.2022 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:2
    Latest results of Unión Magdalena
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

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