Result
19/04/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
29.7% | Draw
30.1% | Independiente Medellín
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.89) |
3.09 ↓
(3.31) |
2.33 ↓
(2.37) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind Medellín might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Medellín?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
13.07.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
26.01.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
10.10.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
24.02.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
20.08.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
