Result
0:1
19/04/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Montano W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/402) | 79% (237/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/402) | 79% (237/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (109/138) | 71% (67/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Serna A. 🟨,
- 26', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 36', Munoz J. 🟨,
- 36', Chaverra L. 🟨,
- 37', Ortiz J. 🟥,
- 42', 0 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Montano J. (A),
- 45+3', Fernandez W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Serna A. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 46', Chaverra L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez W. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
- 46', Moreno K. ↓, Valencia L. ↑,
- 46', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 58', Catano D. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 66', Martinez M. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 66', Munoz J. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
- 74', Villegas C. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
- 76', Montano J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 83', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 89', Chaux E. 🟨,
- 90', Loboa H. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/46tccv6z
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 29.7% | Draw 28.5% | Independiente Medellín 41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.14 ↑ (2.89) |
3.29 ↓ (3.31) |
2.25 ↓ (2.37) |
6.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind Medellín might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Medellín?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
13.07.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
26.01.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
10.10.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
24.02.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
20.08.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )