Independiente Santa Fe vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.27
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (389/466)59% (133/225)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.13
Total shots
227
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
611
Passes
83% (389/466)59% (133/225)
Long passes
61% (36/59)26% (17/66)
Passes in final third
72% (72/100)37% (27/73)
Crosses
54% (14/26)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.680.17
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
116
Tackles
78% (7/9)75% (15/20)
Duels won
3039
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.131.23
Goals prevented
0.13-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Perlaza E. , Lopez E. ,
  • 62', Murillo E. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 68', Cantillo F. 🟥,
  • 71', Hinojosa R. , Congo J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Olivera E. , Fernandez O. (A),
  • 79', Sarmiento J. , Iguaran C. ,
  • 81', Mercado J. , Colpa Bolano R. R. ,
  • 81', Fernandez O. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 86', Mosquera H. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Mafla C. , Mosquera H. (A),
  • 89', Marquez R. , Arrieta G. ,
  • 89', Lerma J. , Lastre E. ,
  • 90+3', Rodallega H. , Zapata A. ,
  • 90+3', Mosquera H. , Meli M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/426r7std

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
61.8%
Draw
24.6%
Unión Magdalena
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 25% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 24% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.48)
    3.74
    (3.66)
    7
    (7)
    6.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Unión Magdalena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Santa Fe is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    19.08.2023 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe 2:2
    26.02.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena 0:0
    25.09.2022 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe 0:2
    Latest results of Unión Magdalena
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1180323:91424
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1265123:131023
    4Inter Bogotu00e11256117:15221
    5Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    6Junior1161417:16119
    7America De Cali1052315:8717
    8Millonarios1252519:13617
    9Deportes Tolima1044212:8416
    10Dep. Cali1244414:11316
    11Llaneros1236314:13115
    12Aguilas1043311:10115
    13Fortaleza1135313:16-314
    14Santa Fe1126312:14-212
    15Ind. Medellin1024413:15-210
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1131710:21-1110
    17Cucuta1214716:25-97
    18Chico112189:19-107
    19Pereira1105610:22-125
    20Alianza100555:19-145

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