Result
0:1
30/03/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 1.22 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
73% (211/289) | 80% (299/373) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 1.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.79 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
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11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 30 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
73% (211/289) | 80% (299/373) |
Long passes |
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47% (30/64) | 41% (28/68) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (48/75) | 70% (96/138) |
Crosses |
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32% (6/19) | 11% (2/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.89 | 1.95 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
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35 | 32 |
Clearances Total |
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20 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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2 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.73 | 0.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.27 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Payares M. 🟨,
- 19', Mera D. 🟥,
- 34', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez V. ↓, Aragon O. ↑,
- 63', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 1, Albornoz O. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 66', Velasquez Y. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
- 67', Torres J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 70', Marquez R. 🟨,
- 72', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
- 72', Tello J. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
- 72', Marquez R. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 84', Sarmiento J. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez O. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Diaz K. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2xf49pr7
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena 35.6% | Draw 31.1% | Independiente Santa Fe 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Magdalena's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Magdalena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↓ (3.1) |
2.97 ↓ (3.22) |
2.81 ↑ (2.3) |
7.1% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 0.
- Unión Magdalena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Santa Fe is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Unión Magdalena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Unión Magdalena?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
19.08.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:2
26.02.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Unión Magdalena
0:0
25.09.2022
Unión Magdalena
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:2
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )