Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (367/422) | 88% (412/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (367/422) | 88% (412/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (32/55) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (94/125) | 82% (69/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Becher R. ⚽, Ostrem C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Moshobane T. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 56', Kasim P. ↓, Ors S. ↑,
- 62', Bakero J. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
- 63', Becher R. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Ors S. ⚽, Milanese M. (A),
- 68', Chaney C. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
- 71', Holt A. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
- 72', Martinez I. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
- 74', Ndiaye B. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
- 81', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
- 86', Romero J. 🟨,
- 88', Spielman N. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Marou S. ⚽, Mbuyu T. (A),
Chances of winning
Charlotte Independence
39.7% | Draw
27.5% | Union Omaha
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.82) |
3.32 ↓
(4.25) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
9.4%
(11.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 2.
- In recent matches, Charlotte Ind has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union Omaha has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Union Omaha?
Charlotte Independence has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Omaha won against Charlotte Independence?
Union Omaha has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha were as follows:
17.05.2024
Charlotte Independence
-
Union Omaha
1:4
20.04.2024
Union Omaha
-
Charlotte Independence
0:0
28.10.2023
Union Omaha
-
Charlotte Independence
0:1
04.10.2023
Union Omaha
-
Charlotte Independence
4:1
03.06.2023
Charlotte Independence
-
Union Omaha
3:0
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
Latest results of Union Omaha
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independ | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 30:25 | 5 | 28 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | AV Alta | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Naples | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 7 | Texoma | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Greenville | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Forward Madison | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Tormenta | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Union Omaha | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
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