Unión Santa Fe vs Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano
Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.82
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
82% (292/358)78% (300/386)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.39
Total shots
156
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
156
Passes
82% (292/358)78% (300/386)
Long passes
51% (27/53)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
67% (75/112)61% (54/89)
Crosses
14% (3/22)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.93
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
615
Tackles
50% (5/10)50% (11/22)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
3732
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.390.49
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. , Jara F. (A),
  • 33', Martinez M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Gamba L. , Estigarribia M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Grillo F. , Ostchega T. ,
  • 46', Menossi L. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 65', Del Blanco M. , Fragapane F. ,
  • 70', Palacios J. , Ham E. ,
  • 71', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 71', Jara F. , Passerini L. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Quignon F. ,
  • 81', Hernandes R. 🟨,
  • 83', Martinez M. , Verde L. ,
  • 87', Fernandez N. , Mavilla J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
41.7%
Draw
29.7%
Belgrano
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 29.4% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 29.5% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.84)
    3.19
    (3.19)
    3.3
    (2.51)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0.
    • Unión has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Unión has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Luduena J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Espinola J. (Inactive) Lucco J. (Hamstring Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    06.04.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 1:2
    12.11.2023 Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe 4:1
    08.04.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 0:3
    18.01.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 0:2
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Belgrano
    22.04.2025 Tigre - Belgrano 0:0
    16.04.2025 Belgrano - Real Pilar 3:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

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