Unión Santa Fe vs Belgrano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano
Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.82
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
82% (292/358)78% (300/386)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.39
Total shots
156
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
156
Passes
82% (292/358)78% (300/386)
Long passes
51% (27/53)51% (34/67)
Passes in final third
67% (75/112)61% (54/89)
Crosses
14% (3/22)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.93
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
615
Tackles
50% (5/10)50% (11/22)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
3732
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.390.49
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. , Jara F. (A),
  • 33', Martinez M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Gamba L. , Estigarribia M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Grillo F. , Ostchega T. ,
  • 46', Menossi L. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 65', Del Blanco M. , Fragapane F. ,
  • 70', Palacios J. , Ham E. ,
  • 71', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 71', Jara F. , Passerini L. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez F. , Quignon F. ,
  • 81', Hernandes R. 🟨,
  • 83', Martinez M. , Verde L. ,
  • 87', Fernandez N. , Mavilla J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
41.7%
Draw
29.7%
Belgrano
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 29.4% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 29.5% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.84)
    3.19
    (3.19)
    3.3
    (2.51)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0.
    • Unión has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Unión has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Luduena J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Espinola J. (Inactive) Lucco J. (Hamstring Injury) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    06.04.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 1:2
    12.11.2023 Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe 4:1
    08.04.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 0:3
    18.01.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 0:2
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Belgrano
    22.04.2025 Tigre - Belgrano 0:0
    16.04.2025 Belgrano - Real Pilar 3:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano11003:033
    2Barracas Central11001:013
    3Aldosivi10100:001
    4Central Cordoba10100:001
    5Newells Old Boys00000:000
    6Tigre00000:000
    7Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    8Banfield00000:000
    9Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    10Boca Juniors00000:000
    11Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    12Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    13Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    14Racing Club10010:1-10
    15Huracan10010:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo11002:113
    2Instituto11001:013
    3Rosario Central10101:101
    4Godoy Cruz10101:101
    5Lanus00000:000
    6San Martin S.J00000:000
    7Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    8Independiente00000:000
    9River Plate00000:000
    10Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    11Platense00000:000
    12Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Talleres Cordoba10011:2-10
    15Gimnasia L.P10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano?
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