Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/358) | 78% (300/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/358) | 78% (300/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (75/112) | 61% (54/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Jara F. (A),
- 33', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Gamba L. ⚽, Estigarribia M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Grillo F. ↓, Ostchega T. ↑,
- 46', Menossi L. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 65', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
- 70', Palacios J. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
- 71', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 71', Jara F. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez F. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,
- 81', Hernandes R. 🟨,
- 83', Martinez M. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
- 87', Fernandez N. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe
41.7% | Draw
29.7% | Belgrano
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.84) |
3.19 ↓
(3.19) |
3.3 ↑
(2.51) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0.
- Unión has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Unión has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Luduena J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Belgrano: Espinola J.
(Inactive)
Lucco J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Belgrano?
Unión Santa Fe has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Unión Santa Fe?
Belgrano has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano were as follows:
09.08.2024
Belgrano
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:1
06.04.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Belgrano
1:2
12.11.2023
Belgrano
-
Unión Santa Fe
4:1
08.04.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Belgrano
0:3
18.01.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Belgrano
0:2
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Belgrano
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
