Cruzeiro vs Unión Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe
Result
0:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Romero B. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
spainSpainLaLiga+ app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
87% (358/410)77% (250/323)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.06
Total shots
116
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
814
Passes
87% (358/410)77% (250/323)
Long passes
49% (22/45)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)63% (62/99)
Crosses
29% (9/31)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.51
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
148
Tackles
65% (11/17)76% (16/21)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.060.04
Goals prevented
0.060.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Fascendini V. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Verde L. , Martinez M. ,
  • 46', Murilo Rhikman , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 59', Jonathan Jesus , Villalba L. ,
  • 60', Fagner , William Furtado ,
  • 60', Matheus Pereira , Rodriguinho ,
  • 67', Diaz L. , Dinenno J. ,
  • 68', Vargas L. 🟨,
  • 79', Fragapane F. , Palacios J. ,
  • 82', Gamba L. , Colazo A. ,
  • 85', Rodriguinho 🟨,
  • 90', Ham E. , Paz N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
46.5%
Draw
28.8%
Unión Santa Fe
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 25.4% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 24.2% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.67)
    3.26
    (3.69)
    3.78
    (5.06)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cruzeiro has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Unión is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cruzeiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 2.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Palestino 2:1
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2