Result
0:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Colombia | ESPN 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (358/410) | 77% (250/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (358/410) | 77% (250/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 63% (62/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Fascendini V. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Verde L. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 46', Murilo Rhikman ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 59', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
- 60', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 60', Matheus Pereira ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 67', Diaz L. ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 68', Vargas L. 🟨,
- 79', Fragapane F. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 82', Gamba L. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
- 85', Rodriguinho 🟨,
- 90', Ham E. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
46.5% | Draw
28.8% | Unión Santa Fe
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.67) |
3.26 ↓
(3.69) |
3.78 ↓
(5.06) |
6.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cruzeiro has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Unión is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cruzeiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 2.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Unión Santa Fe?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Cruzeiro?
Unión Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
01.04.2025
Unión Santa Fe
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
