Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (379/467) | 57% (110/192) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (379/467) | 57% (110/192) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 49% (36/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (137/188) | 54% (52/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (14/44) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', Mina G. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Orejuela C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fragapane F. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
- 53', Tapiero S. 🟨,
- 63', Orejuela C. 🟨,
- 66', Miranda B. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 71', Orejuela C. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
- 71', Colazo A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 72', Arce L. 🟨,
- 74', Fascendini V. 🟨,
- 77', Paz N. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
- 86', Gamba L. ↓, Lavezzi T. ↑,
- 87', Vargas L. ↓, Gerometta F. ↑,
- 90', Caicedo E. ↓, Gracia A. ↑,
- 90+2', Penilla C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe
63% | Draw
23.7% | Mushuc Runa
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.48) |
3.99 ↑
(3.89) |
7.1 ↓
(7.62) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Mushuc Runa (2.51) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Mushuc Runa (5.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mushuc Runa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Unión has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mushuc Runa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Unión is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Mushuc Runa?
Unión Santa Fe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Unión Santa Fe?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
23.04.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Unión Santa Fe
3:0
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
