Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (393/487) | 69% (195/283) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (393/487) | 69% (195/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (73/124) | 50% (60/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Rodriguez M. ↓, Fascendini V. ↑,
- 28', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Tarragona C. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
- 44', Lodico G. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bravo A. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Rafaelli L. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
- 63', Rafaelli L. 🟨,
- 66', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 66', Fonseca M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 66', Mendez J. ↓, Abregu G. ↑,
- 74', Cerato G. 🟨,
- 76', Cuello B. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
- 80', Luna A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
- 87', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mosevich L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Instituto Córdoba
36.3% | Draw
33.5% | Unión Santa Fe
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.54) |
2.83 ↑
(2.82) |
3.14 ↑
(3.12) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Unión (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Unión (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 20%). Unión (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1.
- Recent performances by Instituto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Unión is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Instituto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Instituto: Abregu G.
(Inactive)
Erquiaga I.
(Inactive)
Klimowicz L.
(Inactive)
Moyano F.
(Inactive)
Romero J.
(Injury)
Suarez F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Palavecino N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Instituto: Galvan J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Unión: Profini R.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Instituto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Instituto Córdoba won against Unión Santa Fe?
Instituto Córdoba has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Instituto Córdoba?
Unión Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
15.08.2025
Instituto Córdoba
-
Unión Santa Fe
0:4
13.02.2025
Unión Santa Fe
-
Instituto Córdoba
0:0
18.05.2024
Instituto Córdoba
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:1
05.02.2023
Unión Santa Fe
-
Instituto Córdoba
0:2
Latest results of Instituto Córdoba
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
