Sarmiento de Junín vs Unión Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:3
26/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.851.18
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
68
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
62
Passes
81% (363/449)59% (166/279)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
1.851.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.17
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1714
Passes
81% (363/449)59% (166/279)
Long passes
57% (36/63)29% (21/72)
Passes in final third
60% (67/111)41% (42/102)
Crosses
23% (5/22)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.14
Throw ins
2114
Fouls
1417
Tackles
73% (8/11)70% (23/33)
Duels won
5975
Clearances
1926
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
1.171.73
Goals prevented
-1.830.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
  • 13', 0 - 2, Cuello B. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
  • 30', Vargas L. 🟨,
  • 31', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 35', Zabala C. 🟨,
  • 38', Arismendi Y. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
  • 46', Villalba C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
  • 46', Salle S. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 3, Tarragona C. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 3, Marabel J. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
  • 63', Profini R. ↓, Giaccone E. ↑,
  • 63', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
  • 70', Contrera J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
  • 70', Cuello B. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
  • 70', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
  • 78', Tarragona C. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
  • 83', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
  • 87', Zabala C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
  • 90', Renteria J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
27.8%		Draw
33%		Unión Santa Fe
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 32.4% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 31.8% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de Junín's performance.
  • Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Junín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.4 ↓
    (4.1)    		 2.85
    (2.85)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.05)    		 6.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Unión will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 13.8% – 69.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%). Unión (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Unión (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Unión might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Fascendini V. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Suarez L. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe 1:0
    02.03.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe 1:2
    08.10.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    15.05.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento de Junín 0:2
    08.09.2022 Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    20.02.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Huracán Buenos Aires - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán 2:1 ✺
    03.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1 ✺
    29.01.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Banfield 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    22.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi 1:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    06.02.2026 Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe 1:0 ✺
    02.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 4:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Lanús - Unión Santa Fe 2:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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