Instituto Córdoba vs Unión Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.031.33
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
23
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
52
Passes
81% (393/487)69% (195/283)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
1.031.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.19
Total shots
87
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1314
Passes
81% (393/487)69% (195/283)
Long passes
41% (26/64)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
59% (73/124)50% (60/121)
Crosses
27% (6/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.37
Throw ins
2318
Fouls
1413
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
2734
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.190.57
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Rodriguez M. ↓, Fascendini V. ↑,
  • 28', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Tarragona C. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
  • 44', Lodico G. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bravo A. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Rafaelli L. ⚽,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
  • 63', Rafaelli L. 🟨,
  • 66', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
  • 66', Fonseca M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
  • 66', Mendez J. ↓, Abregu G. ↑,
  • 74', Cerato G. 🟨,
  • 76', Cuello B. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
  • 80', Luna A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
  • 87', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mosevich L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Instituto Córdoba
36.3%		Draw
33.5%		Unión Santa Fe
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 33.1% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 32.7% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.59 ↑
    (2.54)    		 2.83 ↑
    (2.82)    		 3.14 ↑
    (3.12)    		 5.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Unión (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Unión (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 20%). Unión (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1.
    • Recent performances by Instituto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Unión is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Instituto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Instituto: Abregu G. (Inactive) Erquiaga I. (Inactive) Klimowicz L. (Inactive) Moyano F. (Inactive) Romero J. (Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Unión: Colazo A. (Inactive) Palavecino N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Instituto: Galvan J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Unión: Profini R. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Instituto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe 0:4
    13.02.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba 0:0
    18.05.2024 Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    05.02.2023 Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba 0:2
    Latest results of Instituto Córdoba
    24.02.2026 San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba 1:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán 2:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Instituto Córdoba - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba 1:0 ✺
    03.02.2026 Instituto Córdoba - Lanús 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    26.02.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe 1:3 ✺
    22.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi 1:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    06.02.2026 Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe 1:0 ✺
    02.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 4:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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