Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (372/418) | 86% (295/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (372/418) | 86% (295/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (23/34) | 64% (32/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (88/113) | 77% (61/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Cueva C. (Pen),
- 35', Canga L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
- 59', Clavijo E. ↓, Anangono G. ↑,
- 68', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 71', Cacciabue J. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 71', Valencia E. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 71', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 75', Cueva C. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 75', Ayovi J. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 81', Yanez Zambrano S. 🟥,
- 84', Moreno L. ↓, Draper A. ↑,
- 88', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
- 90+1', Cevallos J. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
55.1% | Draw
25.8% | Emelec
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emelec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.53) |
3.6 ↓
(3.7) |
4.78 ↓
(6.5) |
8.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Emelec?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec were as follows:
16.02.2025
Emelec
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:4
26.10.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Emelec
2:0
05.05.2024
Emelec
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
28.10.2023
Emelec
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
20.05.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Emelec
3:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
