Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.310.63
Ball possession
71%29%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
52
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
53
Passes
90% (478/533)75% (164/219)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.310.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.89
Total shots
134
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
83
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1210
Passes
90% (478/533)75% (164/219)
Long passes
77% (49/64)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
79% (120/152)51% (27/53)
Crosses
22% (5/23)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.57
Throw ins
1713
Fouls
1012
Tackles
50% (5/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
834
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.891.02
Goals prevented
-0.110.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Anangono G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. , Palacios B. (A),
  • 52', Clavijo E. , Moreno L. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Valencia S. , Pizzini F. (A),
  • 65', Palacios B. , Fajardo J. ,
  • 65', Alonso M. , Palacios D. ,
  • 70', Napoli G. , Mina A. ,
  • 73', Pizzini F. , Klimowicz L. ,
  • 77', Cacciabue J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 77', Mejia E. , Rose E. ,
  • 85', Guerrico I. 🟨,
  • 90', Mina A. , Herrera O. ,
  • 90', Neris J. , Cevallos J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica del Ecuador
57.9%
Draw
24.3%
Emelec
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 26% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.81)
    3.8
    (3.48)
    5.17
    (3.78)
    8.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
    • Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1
    16.02.2025 Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:4
    26.10.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 2:0
    05.05.2024 Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    28.10.2023 Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    04.04.2026 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 0:2
    22.03.2026 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 2:0
    15.03.2026 Emelec - Orense 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle751113:6716
    2U. Catolica734011:4713
    3Barcelona SC73316:3312
    4Tecnico U73228:6211
    5Dep. Cuenca73227:5211
    6Macara72415:3210
    7Libertad72417:6110
    8LDU Quito73137:8-110
    9Aucas72328:809
    10Delfin72233:4-18
    11Mushuc Runa71428:9-17
    12Leones del Norte71423:7-47
    13Guayaquil City71333:8-56
    14Emelec72236:8-25
    15Orense71249:13-45
    16Manta71152:8-64

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