Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Ecuador | Teleamazonas |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (478/533) | 75% (164/219) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (478/533) | 75% (164/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 77% (49/64) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (120/152) | 51% (27/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. ⚽, Palacios B. (A),
- 52', Clavijo E. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Valencia S. ⚽, Pizzini F. (A),
- 65', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 65', Alonso M. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 70', Napoli G. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 73', Pizzini F. ↓, Klimowicz L. ↑,
- 77', Cacciabue J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 77', Mejia E. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
- 85', Guerrico I. 🟨,
- 90', Mina A. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
- 90', Neris J. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 57.9% | Draw 24.3% | Emelec 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.81) |
3.8 ↑ (3.48) |
5.17 ↑ (3.78) |
8.1% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Emelec?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec were as follows:
25.06.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Emelec
1:1
16.02.2025
Emelec
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:4
26.10.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Emelec
2:0
05.05.2024
Emelec
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
28.10.2023
Emelec
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )