Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 8
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/493) | 70% (155/223) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/493) | 70% (155/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (115/157) | 59% (41/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 36 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. (Own goal),
- 23', Andia Leon Y. W. 🟨,
- 29', Mena E. 🟨,
- 30', Ampuero B. ↓, Arancibia Flores S. A. ↑,
- 33', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 36', Pinares C. 🟨,
- 45+5', Zampedri F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Valencia J. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
- 46', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 46', Mena E. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
- 69', Pinares C. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
- 69', Llanten M. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
- 72', Bello E. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
- 76', Da Silva N. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
- 81', Farias A. 🟨,
- 86', Andia Leon Y. W. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. (Pen),
- 90+1', Castro D. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Jader ⚽, Montes C. (A),
- 90+6', Jader 🟨,
- 90+9', Guerra L. 🟨,
- 90+11', Medel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
53.1% | Draw
25.7% | Deportes Limache
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Universidad Católica - Deportes Limache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.55) |
3.61 ↓
(3.95) |
4.5 ↓
(4.9) |
6.3%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Deportes Limache?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Limache could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Uni Católica is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Deportes Limache?
Universidad Católica has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Universidad Católica?
Deportes Limache has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Deportes Limache were as follows:
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | Union La Calera | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
| 11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
| 13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
| 14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
