Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Lara J. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (269/348) | 83% (453/544) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (269/348) | 83% (453/544) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/101) | 62% (80/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Pavez L. 🟨,
- 5', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 23', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Yanez B. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
- 45+3', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Carcamo V. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
- 46', Valencia J. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
- 46', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
- 52', Vecino T. 🟨,
- 62', Leiva J. ↓, Martin Sarrafiore ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez F. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
- 67', Martinez J. A. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 67', Asta-Buruaga T. ↓, Cerezo B. ↑,
- 68', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
- 75', Tapia J. ↓, Faundez F. ↑,
- 75', Pavez L. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 87', Giani J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
OHiggins
24.8% | Draw
28% | Universidad Católica
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OHiggins's form might have worsened.Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OHiggins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OHiggins - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(2.64) |
3.33 ↑
(3.22) |
2 ↓
(2.6) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for OHiggins - Universidad Católica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 2.
- OHiggins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Uni Católica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Universidad Católica?
OHiggins has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against OHiggins?
Universidad Católica has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OHiggins - Universidad Católica were as follows:
02.11.2025
Universidad Católica
-
OHiggins
0:2
17.05.2025
OHiggins
-
Universidad Católica
2:0
06.10.2024
OHiggins
-
Universidad Católica
0:2
11.05.2024
Universidad Católica
-
OHiggins
3:2
07.10.2023
OHiggins
-
Universidad Católica
0:3
Latest results of OHiggins
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
