Result
1:1
01/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/348) | 85% (379/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/348) | 85% (379/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 62% (39/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (48/92) | 68% (81/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 21% (7/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Carrasco B. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Carrasco B. ⚽,
- 40', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 44', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 62', Rossel J. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
- 64', Valencia D. 🟨,
- 72', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 72', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 73', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 73', Valencia D. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 76', Mena E. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽,
- 86', Carrasco B. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 87', Cuevas C. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
- 87', Arancibia Flores S. A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 90+4', Zampedri F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino 39.2% | Draw 29.4% | Universidad Católica 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Palestino - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.21) |
3.2 ↓ (3.22) |
2.99 ↓ (3.23) |
6.4% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palestino - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 2.
- Palestino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni Católica is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palestino has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Universidad Católica?
Palestino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Palestino?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Universidad Católica were as follows:
04.03.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Palestino
1:2
03.08.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Palestino
1:1
02.03.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad Católica
0:2
13.08.2023
Palestino
-
Universidad Católica
3:0
25.02.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Palestino
5:2
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 28:46 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso