Result
6:1
02/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (331/390) | 81% (259/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.65 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (331/390) | 81% (259/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 60% (37/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (47/82) | 59% (43/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -2.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Giani J. ⚽,
- 12', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Munder C. ⚽, Da Silva N. (A),
- 30', Farias A. ↓, Mena E. ↑,
- 32', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 1, Palavecino M. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
- 41', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 41', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
- 45', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Araya M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 1, Giani J. ⚽,
- 63', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
- 64', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 66', 4 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
- 69', Giani J. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
- 69', Palavecino M. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
- 72', 5 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Cuevas C. (A),
- 72', Munder C. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
- 73', Da Silva N. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 75', Montes C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 75', Ampuero B. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 78', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 90', 6 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Cuevas C. (A),
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
48.9% | Draw
26.5% | Palestino
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Universidad Católica - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.52 ↓
(3.77) |
3.79 ↓
(3.95) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Palestino?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
- Uni Católica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palestino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Palestino?
Universidad Católica has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Universidad Católica?
Palestino has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Palestino were as follows:
22.11.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Palestino
2:1
01.06.2025
Palestino
-
Universidad Católica
1:1
04.03.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Palestino
1:2
03.08.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Palestino
1:1
02.03.2024
Palestino
-
Universidad Católica
0:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Nublense | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Huachipato | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | U. De Concepcion | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 14 |
| 7 | U. De Chile | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | O'Higgins | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | La Serena | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Palestino | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
