Universidad Central vs Estudiantes de Mérida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas).

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 7
Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.16	0.99
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
8	3
Passes
79% (309/393)	78% (272/350)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.16	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.23	0.94
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
5	2
Shots inside the box
6	3
Shots outside the box
7	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
18	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
16	16
Passes
79% (309/393)	78% (272/350)
Long passes
50% (31/62)	49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
54% (49/91)	61% (49/80)
Crosses
18% (5/28)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.48
Throw ins
25	14
Fouls
16	16
Tackles
64% (7/11)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
42	39
Clearances
10	30
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.94	1.23
Goals prevented
-0.06	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Carrillo D. 🟨,
33', Ivey R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Sosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Morales L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Quejada K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
65', De Sousa D. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
66', Carrillo D. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
68', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
84', Sosa S. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
85', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
85', Rivas C. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
90+2', Lobo J. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
90+2', Sole F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Universidad Central
51.3%

Draw
27.9%

Estudiantes de Mérida
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.53)	3.33 ↓ (4.26)	4.46 ↓ (5.52)	7.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3.
Universidad Central has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Estudiantes Mérida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Universidad Central is a strong favorite.
We predict that Universidad Central will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Estudiantes de Mérida?

Universidad Central has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Universidad Central?

Estudiantes de Mérida has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida were as follows:

23.07.2025 Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central 0:0

14.02.2025 Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:1

14.09.2024 Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:1

19.03.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central 0:1

22.07.2023 Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central 2:0

Latest results of Universidad Central

08.03.2026 Rayo Zuliano - Universidad Central 1:5 ✺

28.02.2026 Universidad Central - Zamora 2:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Caracas - Universidad Central 1:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Universidad Central - Metropolitanos 3:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Monagas - Universidad Central 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida

06.03.2026 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira 0:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:2 ✺

23.02.2026 Academia Anzoátegui - Estudiantes de Mérida 0:3 ✺

13.02.2026 Estudiantes de Mérida - Rayo Zuliano 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Zamora - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:2 ✺

Venezuelan Primera Division Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Universidad Central	9	6	1	2	18:10	8	19
2	La Guaira	9	5	4	0	10:3	7	19
3	Dep. Tachira	9	5	2	2	10:6	4	17
4	Metropolitanos	8	4	3	1	12:9	3	15
5	Puerto Cabello	9	3	4	2	11:7	4	13
6	Portuguesa	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13
7	Carabobo	9	2	6	1	11:6	5	12
8	Estudiantes Merida	9	3	2	4	14:13	1	11
9	Zamora	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
10	Rayo Zuliano	9	3	2	4	9:16	-7	11
11	Caracas	9	1	5	3	10:12	-2	8
12	Monagas	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7
13	Anzoategui FC	8	1	2	5	6:12	-6	5
14	Trujillanos	9	0	4	5	7:17	-10	4

Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )