Result
3:1
09/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 83% (398/480) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (264/338) | 83% (398/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 58% (38/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 65% (79/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Cuesta J. 🟨,
- 13', Villalba E. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Cuesta J. ⚽,
- 45+3', Bolivar J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 1, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Gimenez N. (A),
- 64', Fernandez M. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 66', Sosa S. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
- 68', Villalba P. 🟨,
- 77', Melgarejo L. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 77', Sanabria L. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 79', Silva K. 🟨,
- 80', Zapata J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
- 84', Campuzano A. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 84', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
- 87', Bolivar J. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
- 87', Cuesta J. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Murillo Y. ⚽, Sole F. (A),
- 90+2', Granko A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Sole F. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Universidad Central
30.4% | Draw
31.9% | Libertad Asuncion
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Universidad Central - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(3.04) |
2.92 ↓
(3.05) |
2.5 ↑
(2.45) |
6.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There are questionable in Libertad: Fernandez H.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Libertad Asuncion?
Universidad Central has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Universidad Central?
Libertad Asuncion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
Latest results of Universidad Central
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
