Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 10
- Referee: Jimenez Lazo F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/461) | 68% (188/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/461) | 68% (188/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (39/65) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/136) | 47% (24/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Medel G. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
- 48', Zampedri F. 🟨,
- 58', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 59', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
- 70', Mena E. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
- 77', Sepulveda M. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 77', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 84', Ampuero B. ↓, Arancibia Flores S. A. ↑,
- 84', Zuqui F. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
- 87', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 89', Hormazabal F. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 90', Aranguiz C. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
- 90+3', Montes C. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 90+4', Diaz A. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
56.1% | Draw
24.9% | Universidad Católica
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.73) |
3.8 ↑
(3.7) |
4.98 ↑
(4.7) |
6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
- Universidad de Chile is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Uni Católica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is the team to beat.
- We predict that Universidad de Chile will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Universidad Católica?
Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Universidad de Chile?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica were as follows:
19.10.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
18.05.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Universidad Católica
1:2
27.01.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
1:3
11.11.2023
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
1:3
13.10.2022
Universidad Católica
-
Universidad de Chile
2:2
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
