Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
- Referee: Galaz C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/384) | 85% (411/485) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/384) | 85% (411/485) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (21/60) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (65/97) | 70% (85/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Parra P. 🟨,
- 59', Araya M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 60', Meza F. 🟨,
- 67', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
- 69', Parra P. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
- 70', Fuentealba J. 🟨,
- 73', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 76', Espejo J. 🟨,
- 79', Munder C. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez J. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
- 85', Urzi A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 86', Espejo J. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
- 90+1', Fuentealba J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽, Mater F. (A),
- 90+5', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad de Concepción
36% | Draw
27.6% | Palestino
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Universidad de Concepción - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.46) |
3.35 ↑
(3.15) |
2.56 ↓
(2.75) |
7.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepción - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Palestino (1.94) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.5 - Palestino (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Palestino (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palestino (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 2.
- Uni de Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palestino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Concepción won against Palestino?
Universidad de Concepción has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Universidad de Concepción?
Palestino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Concepción - Palestino were as follows:
Latest results of Universidad de Concepción
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Nublense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | A. Italiano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | La Serena | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Palestino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
