Universidad de San Martín de Porres vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Volleyball Peruvian LNSV Women Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima
Result
1:3
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNSV Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Universidad de San Martín de Porres
38.6%
Alianza Lima
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 70.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de San Martín de Porres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de San Martín de Porres's performance.
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de San Martín de Porres than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de San Martín de Porres that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (3.1)

    1.49
    (1.35)
    9.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Alianza Lima leads series 1-0. 2nd leg./
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 2.
    • Recent performances by Uni de San Martín have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alianza Lima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de San Martín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad de San Martín de Porres 3:1
    19.03.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad de San Martín de Porres 1:3
    16.02.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad de San Martín de Porres 2:3
    28.04.2024 Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima 1:3
    21.04.2024 Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Universitario de Deportes W (2)Rebaza Acosta W (7)2 : 0
    2Regatas Lima W (3)Deportivo Soan W (6)2 : 0
    3San Martin de Porres W (1)Atenea W (8)2 : 0
    4Alianza Lima W (4)Circolo W (5)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Universitario de Deportes W (2)Regatas Lima W (3)1 : 2
    2San Martin de Porres W (1)Alianza Lima W (4)0 : 2

    Final
    1Regatas Lima W (3)Alianza Lima W (4)1 : 2

    3rd place
    2San Martin de Porres W (1)Universitario de Deportes W (2)2 : 1