Universidad de San Martín de Porres vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Universidad de San Martín de Porres
38.6%
Alianza Lima
61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Universidad de San Martín de Porres have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Alianza Lima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de San Martín de Porres than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.36)

    1.49
    (1.49)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 1.
    • Recent performances by Uni de San Martín have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Alianza Lima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 36:44. (average 1.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni de San Martín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    26.04.2026 Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima 1:3
    19.04.2026 Alianza Lima - Universidad de San Martín de Porres 0:3
    22.02.2026 Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima 1:3
    19.02.2026 Alianza Lima - Universidad de San Martín de Porres 3:1
    01.02.2026 Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Alianza Lima 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Alianza Lima W (1)Deportivo Soan W (8)2 : 0
    2Geminis W (4)Atenea W (5)2 : 1
    3San Martin de Porres W (2)Circolo W (7)2 : 0
    4Universitario de Deportes W (3)Regatas Lima W (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alianza Lima W (1)Geminis W (4)2 : 0
    2San Martin de Porres W (2)Universitario de Deportes W (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Alianza Lima W (1)San Martin de Porres W (2)1 : 1

    3rd place
    2Universitario de Deportes W (3)Geminis W (4)2 : 0