Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (448/504) | 78% (207/265) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (448/504) | 78% (207/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (68/90) | 52% (46/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 45+6', Valera A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mendieta J. ↓, Perleche A. ↑,
- 58', Duran J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
- 63', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
- 63', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
- 65', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Barco J. ↑,
- 75', Perez M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 84', Barco J. 🟥,
- 87', Rivera J. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 87', Valera A. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 87', Ampuero A. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Velez J. ⚽, Costa G. (A),
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
19.9% | Draw
26.6% | Universitario de Deportes
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↓
(6.66) |
3.55 ↓
(4) |
1.75 ↑
(1.44) |
6.5%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 0.
- Alianza Universidad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Uni de Deportes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Riveros W.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Diego Churin
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Universitario de Deportes?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Universitario de Deportes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
02.03.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
4:0
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Cusco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Alianza Huanuco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Binacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Grau | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
