Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (395/480) | 80% (249/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (395/480) | 80% (249/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (91/135) | 75% (89/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Concha J. ⚽,
- 29', Santamaria A. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
- 45+1', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Llontop M. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 55', Guzman L. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 55', Arias A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 62', Di Benedetto M. 🟨,
- 68', Deneumostier A. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 68', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
- 68', Carabali J. ↓, Reyna P. ↑,
- 72', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
- 80', Velez J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
- 80', Perez M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 81', Bordacahar C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Riveros W. ⚽, Reyna P. (A),
- 90+2', Tandazo W. 🟥,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
40.5% | Draw
32.8% | Universitario de Deportes
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.2) |
2.83 ↓
(3.25) |
3.49 ↑
(3.2) |
6.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N.
(Knee Injury)
Vidales J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Flores E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Universitario de Deportes?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against FBC Melgar?
Universitario de Deportes has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
13.04.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
4:1
31.07.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Universitario de Deportes
1:0
17.02.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
2:0
06.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:1
05.03.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
1:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
