Result
4:1
13/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | GOL Peru |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (372/460) | 73% (206/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (372/460) | 73% (206/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (89/131) | 59% (45/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (26/29) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 34 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -2.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ⚽,
- 18', Calcaterra H. 🟨,
- 33', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 41', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 1, Valera A. ⚽, Carabali J. (A),
- 53', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 58', Velez J. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 58', Calcaterra H. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
- 61', Castro F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 61', Cabanillas N. ↓, Llontop M. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Concha J. ⚽, Flores E. (A),
- 67', 3 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽, Valera A. (A),
- 70', Guzman L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 70', Martinez T. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 76', Flores E. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 76', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 86', Bordacahar C. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 86', Carabali J. ↓, Reyna P. ↑,
- 90+3', Lazo M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽, Dulanto G. (A),
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
53.7% | Draw
28.6% | FBC Melgar
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.87) |
3.26 ↑
(3.23) |
5.16 ↑
(4.53) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universitario de Deportes will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni de Deportes won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Uni de Deportes is a favorite.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
Perez M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Urena R.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Uni de Deportes won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Uni de Deportes won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against FBC Melgar?
Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Universitario de Deportes?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar were as follows:
31.07.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Universitario de Deportes
1:0
17.02.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
2:0
06.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:1
05.03.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
1:0
16.10.2022
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Cusco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Alianza Huanuco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Binacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Grau | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
