Result
1:1
20/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (276/343) | 78% (243/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (276/343) | 78% (243/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/68) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (83/114) | 68% (64/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Zanelatto F. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 0, Guivin Tanta J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 33', Orzan H. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
- 45+1', Perez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ramos A. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 48', Guivin Tanta J. 🟨,
- 68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Quagliata N. ⚽,
- 71', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
- 74', Vidales J. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 74', Quagliata N. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 80', Mazzo A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 83', Cedron V. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 83', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 86', Escobar J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
33.9% | Draw
29.8% | FBC Melgar
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.5) |
3.1 ↓
(3.25) |
2.56 ↓
(2.75) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - ADT (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
- ADT has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melgar is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in ADT: Rengifo H.
(Red Card)
Soto J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Arakaki H.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against FBC Melgar?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against ADT Tarma?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar were as follows:
24.08.2025
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
05.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
16.08.2024
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
09.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
22.06.2023
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
