Independiente Petroleros vs Universitario de Vinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian League Cup Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto
Result
0:1
15/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Pacena - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.57
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
19
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
68% (170/251)85% (410/480)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.061.29
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
810
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
68% (170/251)85% (410/480)
Long passes
44% (27/61)49% (34/70)
Passes in final third
58% (44/76)70% (79/113)
Crosses
27% (3/11)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.29
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (16/22)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
1.290.06
Goals prevented
0.290.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Gimenez D. 🟨,
  • 20', Rivera E. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Gimenez D. , Lujan P. (A),
  • 51', Thomaz 🟨,
  • 53', Esdras Mendoza 🟨,
  • 57', Cardozo R. , Navarro D. ,
  • 57', Cristaldo G. , Medina A. ,
  • 67', Navarro D. 🟨,
  • 73', Villalba D. , Ubah B. ,
  • 77', Martinez Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Martinez Y. , Rivera A. ,
  • 81', Camacho Almanza D. A. , Magallanes J. ,
  • 81', Alipaz J. , Wagner ,
  • 83', Rivera A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lencinas J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cuellar J. , Lazarte J. ,
  • 90+5', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Independiente Petroleros
41.9%
Draw
26.8%
Universitario de Vinto
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 27% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.13)
    3.42
    (3.38)
    2.94
    (3.03)
    8.9%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ind Petroleros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 1:1
    24.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros 3:0
    09.12.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 3:2
    17.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros 1:2
    12.03.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 1:0