Result
2:2
23/11/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 25
- Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (202/283) | 83% (379/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (202/283) | 83% (379/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (38/84) | 54% (48/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (55/101) | 66% (99/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.61 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Palacio D. ⚽, Hoyos D. (A),
- 26', Cano E. 🟨,
- 26', Castro R. 🟨,
- 27', Gutierrez J. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
- 31', Restrepo E. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Camacho Almanza D. A. ⚽, Cuellar G. (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Cuellar J. ⚽, Calicho J. (A),
- 44', Palacio D. 🟨,
- 45+5', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Calderon B. ↓, Lencinas J. ↑,
- 57', Palacio D. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 57', Hoyos D. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
- 65', Baldomar O. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
- 65', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 70', Cano E. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
- 71', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
- 72', Gimenez D. 🟨,
- 77', Rojas J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90+2', Vera J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Jara A. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Guerra S. ⚽, Torrico A. (A),
- 90+8', Esdras Mendoza 🟥,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto 39.8% | Draw 26.1% | Nacional Potosí 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.15) |
3.49 ↓ (3.6) |
2.74 ↓ (2.82) |
9.4% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2.
- Recent form of Uni de Vinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional Potosí is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Nacional Potosí?
Universitario de Vinto has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Universitario de Vinto?
Nacional Potosí has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
22.10.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Nacional Potosí
4:3
07.10.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:0
12.08.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Universitario de Vinto
5:1
04.03.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Nacional Potosí
0:1
28.02.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Nacional Potosí
3:0
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready ✔ | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 83:29 | 54 | 68 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 74:31 | 43 | 62 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 28 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 61 |
| 4 | SA Bulo Bulo | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 57:46 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Blooming | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 51:54 | -3 | 43 |
| 6 | Guabira | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Independiente | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 48:53 | -5 | 39 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 41:50 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 37 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 42:50 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 39:52 | -13 | 32 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 56:59 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 30:52 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26:59 | -33 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 30:65 | -35 | 19 |
| 16 | Aurora ✔ | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 49:59 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Always Ready is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Aurora is Relegated to