Result
5:1
12/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 10
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (271/326) | 84% (334/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (271/326) | 84% (334/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (38/56) | 70% (87/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -2.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽, Torres S. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Guerra S. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 27', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 33', Guerra S. 🟥,
- 33', Calicho J. 🟥,
- 41', 3 - 0, Torres S. ⚽,
- 45+4', Torres S. 🟨,
- 45+7', 3 - 1, Camacho Almanza D. A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Camacho Almanza D. A. 🟨,
- 63', Camacho Almanza D. A. 🟨,
- 64', Alipaz J. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 1, Torrico A. ⚽, Tobar T. (A),
- 69', Torres S. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
- 69', Nunez M. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 69', Rojas J. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 72', Luciano ↓, Cabezas B. ↑,
- 75', Baldomar O. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 81', Arce Pari J. 🟨,
- 82', Tobar T. ↓, Mansilla A. ↑,
- 83', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
- 84', Cuellar G. ↓, Cano E. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 1, Mansilla A. ⚽, Palacio D. (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
59% | Draw
22.9% | Universitario de Vinto
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.46) |
4.07 ↓
(4.6) |
5.09 ↓
(5.8) |
8.6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 3.
- Recent form of Nacional Potosí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uni de Vinto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Universitario de Vinto?
Nacional Potosí has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Nacional Potosí?
Universitario de Vinto has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto were as follows:
04.03.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Nacional Potosí
0:1
28.02.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Nacional Potosí
3:0
25.02.2025
Nacional Potosí
-
Universitario de Vinto
2:0
20.12.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Universitario de Vinto
1:2
20.09.2024
Universitario de Vinto
-
Nacional Potosí
0:1
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 49:29 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Blooming | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Guabira | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Universitario de Vinto | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:30 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 | Independiente | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
| 14 | Tomayapo | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12:38 | -26 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | -11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
