Result
0:1
30/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Ndugwa K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
UPDF
29.5% | Draw
31.6% | Bul
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Bul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)The ML Model estimate for UPDF aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bul than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
UPDF - Bul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.09) |
2.86 ↓
(2.99) |
2.32 ↑
(2.19) |
10.8%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 3.
- UPDF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Bul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- UPDF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Bul?
UPDF has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bul won against UPDF?
Bul has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Bul were as follows:
04.12.2024
Bul
-
UPDF
0:2
12.03.2024
Bul
-
UPDF
0:1
09.11.2023
UPDF
-
Bul
2:0
21.02.2023
UPDF
-
Bul
1:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37:9 | 28 | 41 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
