Result
0:1
15/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 89', 0 - 1, Ssekajugo E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
UPDF
57.1% | Draw
25.4% | Express
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UPDF's performance.Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Express might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UPDF that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Express than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Express could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UPDF - Express Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.96) |
3.56 ↑
(3.16) |
5.18 ↑
(3.58) |
10.4%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Express may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, UPDF is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Express?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Express won against UPDF?
Express has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Express were as follows:
26.09.2025
Express
-
UPDF
1:0
24.04.2025
Express
-
UPDF
2:2
06.01.2025
UPDF
-
Express
0:2
27.02.2024
Express
-
UPDF
3:1
27.10.2023
UPDF
-
Express
1:1
Latest results of Express
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
