Express vs UPDF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League Express - UPDF
Result
2:2
24/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 25

Chances of winning


Express
47.7%
Draw
26.8%
UPDF
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 27.7% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Express - UPDF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.98)
    3.41
    (3.35)
    3.57
    (3.3)
    9.7%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Express won 2.
    • Express is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches UPDF is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Express will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Express won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Express won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Express - UPDF were as follows:
    06.01.2025 UPDF - Express 0:2
    27.02.2024 Express - UPDF 3:1
    27.10.2023 UPDF - Express 1:1
    11.02.2023 Express - UPDF 1:1
    01.10.2022 UPDF - Express 1:1
    Latest results of Express
    16.04.2025 Mbale Heroes - Express 0:1
    11.04.2025 Express - Vipers 2:2
    05.04.2025 Maroons - Express 1:0
    27.03.2025 NEC FC - Express 3:1
    13.03.2025 Express - Police 1:2
    Latest results of UPDF
    16.04.2025 UPDF - Maroons 2:1
    11.04.2025 Lugazi Municipal - UPDF 2:2
    04.04.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
    28.03.2025 Wakiso Giants - UPDF 0:1
    19.03.2025 Kaaro Karungi - UPDF 3:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers30216349:153469
    2NEC FC30207344:192567
    3BUL301611338:191959
    4URA SC301641042:231952
    5Kampala City30148847:242350
    6Villa30129944:301445
    7Kitara301281045:202544
    8Maroons301271129:32-343
    9Express301161330:45-1539
    10UPDF301091129:34-539
    11Police308121027:28-136
    12Mbarara City30881422:33-1132
    13Lugazi307101319:33-1431
    14Bright Stars30481823:47-2420
    15Wakiso Giants303111617:47-3020
    16Mbale Heroes30242413:69-5610

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