Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 12
- Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Tsypchenko D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mosin E. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Tsypchenko D. ⚽,
- 53', Miguel G. ↓, Italo ↑,
- 61', Akbashev R. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 61', Sungatulin F. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Ishkov I. ⚽,
- 75', Tur J. A. ↓, Emeljanov R. ↑,
- 83', Kharin E. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
- 83', Alcalde J. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
- 87', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
- 89', Aleynikov V. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kuznetsov A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Anisimov A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ural 62.9% | Draw 23.6% | SKA Khabarovsk 13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Ural - SKA Khabarovsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.6) |
4.01 ↑ (3.5) |
7.03 ↑ (5.9) |
5.5% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ural - SKA Khabarovsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ural (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ural will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 3.
- Ural is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SKA Khabarovsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- SKA Khabarovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ural is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ural won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against SKA Khabarovsk?
Ural has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SKA Khabarovsk won against Ural?
SKA Khabarovsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - SKA Khabarovsk were as follows:
24.05.2025
Ural
-
SKA Khabarovsk
3:1
20.10.2024
SKA Khabarovsk
-
Ural
3:3
25.09.2024
Ural
-
SKA Khabarovsk
1:0
Latest results of SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation