Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/05/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FNL - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Russia | Match TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 20 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Shavlokhov D. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', Markov E. ↓, Voronov M. ↑, 
- 62', Ishkov I. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑, 
- 62', Margasov T. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑, 
- 65', Khramtsov M. 🟨, 
- 70', Petrov M. 🟨, 
- 71', Poroykov S. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑, 
- 79', Petrov M. ↓, Savinov A. ↑, 
- 81', 1 - 0, Bem A. ⚽, 
- 82', Mosin E. K. ↓, Morozov N. ↑, 
- 88', Shavlokhov D. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑, 
- 88', Bem A. ↓, Karpov D. ↑, 
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Voronov M. ⚽, 
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Zheleznov Y. ⚽, Voronov M. (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tyumen 23.8%
 | Draw 27.1%
 | Ural 49.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-0.8%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tyumen - Ural Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.81 ↓ (4.76)
 | 3.36 ↑ (3.14)
 | 1.85 ↓ (1.88)
 | 10% (6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Recent performances by Tyumen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ural's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Tyumen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tyumen won against Ural?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tyumen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Tyumen?
                    
                    
                        
                             Ural has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tyumen - Ural were as follows:
                                                        
                                12.10.2024 
                                Ural 
                                - 
                                Tyumen 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Russian FNL Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 | 
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 | 
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 | 
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 | 
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 | 
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 | 
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | 
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 | 
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 | 
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 | 
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 | 
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 | 
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 | 
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