Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.73
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
87% (452/518)	86% (402/470)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	0.47
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	6
Passes
87% (452/518)	86% (402/470)
Long passes
49% (27/55)	53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
74% (100/136)	66% (77/117)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.45
Throw-ins
26	9
Fouls
6	8
Tackles
50% (5/10)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
37	41
Clearances
24	27
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.47	0.30
Goals prevented
0.30	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
58', Yuzawa M. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
63', Thiago ↓, Komori H. ↑,
63', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
81', Konno K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
82', Matsuoka D. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
82', Matheus Savio ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
82', Matsuo Y. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
88', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
90', Yasui K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+7', Ishihara H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
46.2%

Draw
28.9%

Avispa Fukuoka
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urawa Red Diamonds's performance.

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urawa Red Diamonds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.48)	3.25 ↑ (3.16)	3.77 ↑ (3.01)	6.2% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 45.7% – 84.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
Urawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of home games.
Urawa could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0

30.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0

30.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

25.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 2:3

04.11.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Inter Milan - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

17.06.2025 River Plate - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
2	Kashima Antlers	26	15	3	8	38:25	13	48
3	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
4	Machida	26	14	4	8	39:25	14	46
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	26	14	4	8	30:18	12	46
6	Vissel Kobe	26	14	4	8	34:25	9	46
7	Urawa Reds	26	12	8	6	36:26	10	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	26	10	9	7	41:32	9	39
9	Cerezo Osaka	26	10	7	9	40:37	3	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	26	9	9	8	27:26	1	36
11	Gamba Osaka	26	10	4	12	29:35	-6	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	26	8	7	11	30:35	-5	31
14	Verdy	26	8	7	11	16:25	-9	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	26	7	7	12	30:37	-7	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	26	6	7	13	22:41	-19	25
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	26	6	6	14	26:34	-8	24
19	Yokohama FC	26	6	4	16	16:32	-16	22
20	Albirex Niigata	26	4	8	14	26:45	-19	20

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