Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.73
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
87% (452/518)	86% (402/470)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	0.47
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	6
Passes
87% (452/518)	86% (402/470)
Long passes
49% (27/55)	53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
74% (100/136)	66% (77/117)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.45
Throw-ins
26	9
Fouls
6	8
Tackles
50% (5/10)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
37	41
Clearances
24	27
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.47	0.30
Goals prevented
0.30	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
58', Yuzawa M. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
63', Thiago ↓, Komori H. ↑,
63', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
81', Konno K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
82', Matsuoka D. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
82', Matheus Savio ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
82', Matsuo Y. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
88', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
90', Yasui K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+7', Ishihara H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
46.2%

Draw
28.9%

Avispa Fukuoka
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urawa Red Diamonds's performance.

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urawa Red Diamonds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.48)	3.25 ↑ (3.16)	3.77 ↑ (3.01)	6.2% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 45.7% – 84.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
Urawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of home games.
Urawa could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0

30.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0

30.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

25.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 2:3

04.11.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Inter Milan - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

17.06.2025 River Plate - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

21.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

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