Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
27/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.73
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (452/518)86% (402/470)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.300.47
Total shots
128
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
86
Passes
87% (452/518)86% (402/470)
Long passes
49% (27/55)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
74% (100/136)66% (77/117)
Crosses
17% (2/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.45
Throw-ins
269
Fouls
68
Tackles
50% (5/10)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3741
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.470.30
Goals prevented
0.300.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Usui S. , Wellington ,
  • 58', Yuzawa M. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 63', Thiago , Komori H. ,
  • 63', Kaneko T. , Sekine T. ,
  • 81', Konno K. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 82', Matsuoka D. , Akino H. ,
  • 82', Matheus Savio , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 82', Matsuo Y. , Okubo T. ,
  • 88', Iwasaki Y. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 90', Yasui K. , Nakajima S. ,
  • 90+7', Ishihara H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
46.2%
Draw
28.9%
Avispa Fukuoka
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 30.1% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.6% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urawa Red Diamonds's performance.
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urawa Red Diamonds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.48)
    3.25
    (3.16)
    3.77
    (3.01)
    6.2%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 45.7%84.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Avispa Fukuoka (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.
    • Urawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Avispa Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of home games.
    • Urawa could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0
    30.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0
    30.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1
    25.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 2:3
    04.11.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

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