Urawa Red Diamonds vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 35
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.59
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
80% (346/434)	76% (250/331)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.12
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
16	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
80% (346/434)	76% (250/331)
Long passes
31% (18/58)	41% (26/64)
Passes in final third
69% (74/107)	56% (66/117)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.70
Throw-ins
19	22
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
55% (6/11)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
43	48
Clearances
28	20
Interceptions
4	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.12	0.98
Goals prevented
0.12	0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ishihara H. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
36', Masuyama A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
57', Duke M. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
57', Masuyama A. ↓, Nakamura H. ↑,
67', Sekine T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
67', Gustafson S. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
77', Kiese I. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
84', Mochizuki H. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
85', Mae H. 🟨,
90+1', Na Sang-Ho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
29.2%

Draw
29.3%

Machida Zelvia
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.9%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

28.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.07)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.29 ↓ (2.35)	5.3% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Urawa (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Machida Zelvia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Kaneko T. (Red Card)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nishimura T. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Urawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Machida Zelvia?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2

31.08.2024 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2

26.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 1:2

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

18.10.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

21.10.2025 Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia 2:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

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