Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

New National Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	0.70
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
83% (412/497)	78% (324/413)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	1.26
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
7	3
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
21	15
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
6	8
Passes
83% (412/497)	78% (324/413)
Long passes
53% (35/66)	27% (17/64)
Passes in final third
69% (98/142)	53% (49/93)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.21
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
63% (5/8)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
34	38
Clearances Total
16	35
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.26	0.27
Goals prevented
-0.74	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Hoibraaten M. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
38', 0 - 2, Matsuo Y. ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hayashi K. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
46', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
57', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
70', Fujio S. 🟨,
71', Shimoda H. 🟨,
72', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
74', Kaneko T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
78', Yasui K. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
85', Shimoda H. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
90', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
90', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
40%

Draw
31.5%

Urawa Red Diamonds
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.3 ↓ (3.42)	6.8% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Urawa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - New National Stadium.
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 15).
Machida Zelvia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Urawa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Urawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Machida Zelvia will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.7:3.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:9 (average 1.5:4.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Machida Zelvia?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

31.08.2024 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2

26.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 1:2

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

09.04.2025 Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
2	Kashima Antlers	26	15	3	8	38:25	13	48
3	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
4	Machida	26	14	4	8	39:25	14	46
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	26	14	4	8	30:18	12	46
6	Vissel Kobe	26	14	4	8	34:25	9	46
7	Urawa Reds	26	12	8	6	36:26	10	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	26	10	9	7	41:32	9	39
9	Cerezo Osaka	26	10	7	9	40:37	3	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	26	9	9	8	27:26	1	36
11	Gamba Osaka	26	10	4	12	29:35	-6	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	26	8	7	11	30:35	-5	31
14	Verdy	26	8	7	11	16:25	-9	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	26	7	7	12	30:37	-7	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	26	6	7	13	22:41	-19	25
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	26	6	6	14	26:34	-8	24
19	Yokohama FC	26	6	4	16	16:32	-16	22
20	Albirex Niigata	26	4	8	14	26:45	-19	20

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      Relegation ~ J2 League