Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (336/435) | 76% (315/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (336/435) | 76% (315/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/128) | 65% (99/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
- 9', Hayashi K. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Mochizuki H. ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hidano R. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kiese I. (A),
- 62', Fujio S. ↓, Erik ↑,
- 62', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 74', Kaneko T. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
- 74', Onaiwu A. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
- 74', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Soma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Matheus Savio ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
- 90', Okamura D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kiese I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds
33.7% | Draw
30.4% | Machida Zelvia
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.75) |
3.08 ↓
(3.15) |
2.61 ↓
(2.65) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place))
- Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Machida Zelvia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Urawa: Komori H.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Machida Zelvia?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
25.10.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
13.04.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:2
31.08.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:2
26.05.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Machida Zelvia
1:2
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
