Urawa Red Diamonds vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 8
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.74	1.50
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
19	15
Shots on target
6	6
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	2
Passes
77% (336/435)	76% (315/413)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.74	1.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	2.22
Total shots
19	15
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked shots
5	2
Shots inside the box
9	10
Shots outside the box
10	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
21	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
12	8
Passes
77% (336/435)	76% (315/413)
Long passes
41% (24/59)	41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)	65% (99/152)
Crosses
28% (7/25)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.91
Throw ins
21	21
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
60% (12/20)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
49	44
Clearances
28	29
Interceptions
3	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	5
xGOT faced
2.22	0.95
Goals prevented
0.22	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
9', Hayashi K. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Mochizuki H. ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hidano R. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kiese I. (A),
62', Fujio S. ↓, Erik ↑,
62', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
74', Kaneko T. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
74', Onaiwu A. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
74', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Soma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Matheus Savio ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
90', Okamura D. 🟨,
90+4', Kiese I. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
33.7%

Draw
30.4%

Machida Zelvia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	2.61 ↓ (2.65)	6.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place))
Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Machida Zelvia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Komori H. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Machida Zelvia?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

25.10.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 0:0

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2

31.08.2024 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2

26.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 1:2

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

18.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock 2:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 2:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

18.03.2026 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 0:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Machida Zelvia - Gangwon 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Gangwon - Machida Zelvia 0:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	10	8	0	2	0	18:7	26
2	FC Tokyo	11	5	3	2	1	19:10	23
3	Machida	11	5	3	1	2	17:16	22
4	Verdy	10	3	3	0	4	16:15	15
5	Kawasaki Frontale	10	3	2	1	4	16:19	14
6	Urawa Reds	10	3	0	3	4	14:15	12
7	Mito	10	1	3	3	3	13:19	12
8	Kashiwa Reysol	10	3	1	0	6	15:14	11
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	10	3	0	0	7	13:18	9
10	Chiba	10	2	0	3	5	10:18	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	11	7	1	2	1	23:12	25
2	Kyoto	10	4	2	1	3	17:12	17
3	Gamba Osaka	10	3	3	2	2	16:14	17
4	Shimizu S-Pulse	11	3	2	4	2	15:14	17
5	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	1	2	3	17:15	16
6	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	2	1	4	10:11	14
7	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	3	2	0	5	15:14	13
8	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	4	0	0	6	10:15	12
9	Avispa Fukuoka	10	2	2	1	5	10:17	11
10	Okayama	10	2	1	3	4	11:20	11

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)