Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa Red Diamonds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.76
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
0	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
76% (216/284)	85% (516/609)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.41
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked Shots
7	5
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
18	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
76% (216/284)	85% (516/609)
Long passes
42% (19/45)	52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
58% (45/77)	70% (121/174)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.93
Throw-ins
23	34
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
59% (10/17)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
50	53
Clearances
52	28
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
0.41	0.00
Goals prevented
0.41	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Danilo Boza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Matsuo Y. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
68', Toyama S. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
71', Nakajima S. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
71', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
77', Fukuda Y. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
80', Matheus Savio ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
80', Shibato K. ↓, Yasui K. ↑,
83', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
83', Saito K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
83', Miyahara K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
90+4', Hirao H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
26.4%

Draw
29.7%

Urawa Red Diamonds
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Urawa Red Diamonds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.73)	3.18 ↑ (3.02)	2.17 ↓ (2.74)	5.3% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Urawa will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Taniguchi H. (Yellow Cards) Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Urawa: Yasui K. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Tokyo Verdy?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

03.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy 2:0

19.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

03.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy 1:1

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

23.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy 4:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

23.09.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

03.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	32	17	8	7	56:34	22	59
4	Kashiwa Reysol	32	15	12	5	47:33	14	57
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	32	14	10	8	59:44	15	52
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	32	11	10	11	49:47	2	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	32	11	7	14	35:45	-10	40
14	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
15	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
16	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	32	8	7	17	32:43	-11	31
18	Yokohama FC	32	8	7	17	21:36	-15	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

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