Result
2:1
29/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (176/260) | 82% (456/554) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (176/260) | 82% (456/554) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (65/107) | 63% (80/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Nono K. ⚽, Leo Ceara (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Kumatoriya I. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, Yoshida T. ⚽, Matsuhashi Y. (A),
- 42', Misao K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Chinen K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 46', Elber ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 60', Morooka S. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
- 66', Kumatoriya I. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
- 66', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
- 70', Misao K. 🟨,
- 74', Arai Y. 🟨,
- 77', Leo Ceara ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
- 77', Anzai K. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
- 90', Arai Y. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
- 90+3', Shirai R. ↓, Miyahara K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy 22.1% | Draw 28.6% | Kashima Antlers 49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.24 ↓ (4.74) |
3.29 ↓ (3.5) |
1.91 ↑ (1.78) |
6.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Tokyo Verdy have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kashima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kashima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Matheus
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kashima: Tsukui K.
(Red Card)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Kashima Antlers?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Tokyo Verdy?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
07.03.2026
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:0
30.11.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
22.02.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo Verdy
4:0
25.08.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Kashima Antlers
2:1
12.05.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Tokyo Verdy
3:3
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)