Galapagar vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/02/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Galapagar
18.6%
Draw
26%
Ursaria
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.6% 21% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 20.3% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ursaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Galapagar - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.81
    (6.2)
    3.45
    (4.32)
    1.62
    (1.41)
    11.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - Ursaria were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Ursaria - Galapagar 1:0
    Latest results of Galapagar
    Latest results of Ursaria
    05.02.2023 Ursaria - Las Rozas 2:2
    28.01.2023 Alcalá - Ursaria 0:1
    08.01.2023 Ursaria - Torrejón 4:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas30158749:321753
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello30951628:41-1332
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

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