Galapagar vs Ursaria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/02/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Galapagar
18.6%
Draw
26%
Ursaria
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.6% 21% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 20.3% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ursaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Galapagar - Ursaria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.81
    (6.2)
    3.45
    (4.32)
    1.62
    (1.41)
    11.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - Ursaria were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Ursaria - Galapagar 1:0
    Latest results of Galapagar
    Latest results of Ursaria
    05.02.2023 Ursaria - Las Rozas 2:2
    28.01.2023 Alcalá - Ursaria 0:1
    08.01.2023 Ursaria - Torrejón 4:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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