US Dax vs Mont-De-Marsan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
68:14
28/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (35 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (33 - 14)

Chances of winning


US Dax
68.9%
Draw
4.5%
Mont-De-Marsan
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 5.2% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 5.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with US Dax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.39)
    20.02
    (18.06)
    3.49
    (3.35)
    8.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, US Dax is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that US Dax will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 249:293. (average 19.2:22.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 148:145. (average 21.1:20.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Mont-De-Marsan - US Dax 34:18
    16.11.2024 US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan 40:11
    26.04.2024 Mont-De-Marsan - US Dax 13:18
    03.11.2023 US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan 26:22
    Latest results of US Dax
    14.11.2025 Biarritz - US Dax 18:33
    07.11.2025 US Dax - Carcassonne 19:0
    31.10.2025 Agen - US Dax 31:0
    24.10.2025 US Dax - Béziers 40:5
    17.10.2025 Stade Aurillacois - US Dax 36:33
    Latest results of Mont-De-Marsan
    07.11.2025 Brive - Mont-De-Marsan 68:10
    31.10.2025 Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers 71:10
    24.10.2025 Biarritz - Mont-De-Marsan 35:13
    17.10.2025 Mont-De-Marsan - FC Grenoble 32:18
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes221813719:40185
    2Colomiers221606590:33772
    3Provence Rugby221408662:48770
    4Valence Romans221408558:53162
    5US Oyonnax2211011658:48457
    6CA Brive2211110614:48555
    7Agen2211011558:52152
    8Aurillac2210012513:56347
    9Grenoble FC2210012540:58745
    10Angouleme2210012397:54644
    11Nevers228113532:70340
    12Beziers229013442:54938
    13US Dax2210012495:47035
    14Biarritz Olympique228113561:65035
    15Mont-de-Marsan227114458:72733
    16Carcassonne226115398:65430

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