Result
33:21
20/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pro D2 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 14)
- 2nd Half (20 - 7)
Chances of winning
US Dax
44.6% | Draw
4.7% | Provence Rugby
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
US Dax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that US Dax's form might have worsened.Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provence Rugby's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for US Dax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Provence Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
US Dax - Provence Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.78) |
19.83 ↑
(18) |
1.81 ↓
(2.05) |
8.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for US Dax - Provence Rugby?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Provence Rugby will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 42.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 43.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:22.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 1.
- US Dax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Provence Rugby is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 160:270. (average 20:33.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 90:94. (average 22.5:23.5).
How many head-to-head matches has US Dax won against Provence Rugby?
US Dax has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Provence Rugby won against US Dax?
Provence Rugby has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between US Dax - Provence Rugby were as follows:
26.09.2025
Provence Rugby
-
US Dax
42:15
04.04.2025
Provence Rugby
-
US Dax
57:0
12.12.2024
US Dax
-
Provence Rugby
23:22
12.01.2024
Provence Rugby
-
US Dax
54:26
18.08.2023
US Dax
-
Provence Rugby
16:41
Latest results of Provence Rugby
French Pro D2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vannes | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 807:434 | 93 |
| 2 | Colomiers | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 625:380 | 76 |
| 3 | Provence Rugby | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 700:538 | 71 |
| 4 | Valence Romans | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 624:588 | 66 |
| 5 | CA Brive | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 665:504 | 63 |
| 6 | US Oyonnax | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 731:540 | 62 |
| 7 | Agen | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 625:570 | 57 |
| 8 | Aurillac | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 578:625 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble FC | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 590:657 | 49 |
| 10 | Angouleme | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 426:598 | 45 |
| 11 | Biarritz Olympique | 24 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 614:692 | 43 |
| 12 | Beziers | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 498:603 | 42 |
| 13 | Mont-de-Marsan | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 528:779 | 41 |
| 14 | Nevers | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 574:796 | 40 |
| 15 | US Dax | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 561:548 | 39 |
| 16 | Carcassonne | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 443:737 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Pro D2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nationale
