Paradou vs USM Alger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Algerian Ligue 1 Paradou - USM Alger
Result
3:1
17/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
algeriaAlgeriaTV6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Boulbina A. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Salem H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Loucif H. , Mechid D. E. ,
  • 46', Terrazas A. , Alli W. M. ,
  • 46', Chita O. , Benzaza B. ,
  • 69', Benayad R. , Bimenyimana B. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Boulbina A. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paradou
27.5%
Draw
29.9%
USM Alger
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 25.7% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paradou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paradou's form might have worsened.
  • USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paradou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paradou - USM Alger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.45)
    3.11
    (3.4)
    2.18
    (2.45)
    7.8%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Paradou - USM Alger?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paradou will win (votes: 1 - 20%). USM Alger will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paradou (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paradou won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, USM Alger has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paradou won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paradou won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paradou - USM Alger were as follows:
    28.01.2025 USM Alger - Paradou 1:1
    11.02.2024 USM Alger - Paradou 1:5
    27.09.2023 Paradou - USM Alger 1:0
    21.05.2023 Paradou - USM Alger 2:1
    25.10.2022 USM Alger - Paradou 2:1
    Latest results of Paradou
    12.05.2025 Biskra - Paradou 0:1
    24.04.2025 Paradou - ES Sétif 0:0
    18.04.2025 Khenchela - Paradou 2:2
    11.04.2025 Paradou - El Bayadh 0:0
    04.04.2025 Oran - Paradou 2:0
    Latest results of USM Alger
    11.05.2025 USM Alger - Constantine 2:1
    30.04.2025 USM Alger - ASO Chlef 1:2
    26.04.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 2:1
    19.04.2025 USM Alger - Kabylie 0:1
    15.04.2025 USM Alger - El Harrach 1:0
    Algerian Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MC Alger301513239:192058
    2Kabylie30168642:271556
    3CR Belouizdad301510544:212355
    4Saoura301271134:36-243
    5Paradou301181141:39241
    6ES Setif301181121:24-341
    7USM Alger3010101026:26040
    8Oran301241432:33-140
    9Khenchela301171228:38-1040
    10Constantine30912931:31039
    11Olympique Akbou309101124:23137
    12El Bayadh30991223:26-336
    13ASO Chlef307131024:27-334
    14Mostaganem308101223:31-834
    15Magra307101323:35-1231
    16Biskra303111612:31-1920

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2