Result
Postponed
04/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
USM Alger
65.3% | Draw
23.5% | Paradou
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Paradou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
USM Alger - Paradou Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.36) |
3.9 ↓
(4.33) |
8.23 ↓
(8.38) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1.
- Recent performances by USM Alger have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paradou's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- USM Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has USM Alger won against Paradou?
USM Alger has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paradou won against USM Alger?
Paradou has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between USM Alger - Paradou were as follows:
06.09.2025
Paradou
-
USM Alger
0:1
17.05.2025
Paradou
-
USM Alger
3:1
28.01.2025
USM Alger
-
Paradou
1:1
11.02.2024
USM Alger
-
Paradou
1:5
27.09.2023
Paradou
-
USM Alger
1:0
Latest results of USM Alger
Latest results of Paradou
Algerian Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MC Alger | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 38:16 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Saoura | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | Oran | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 45 |
| 4 | Olympique Akbou | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Constantine | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 29:20 | 9 | 42 |
| 6 | CR Belouizdad | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 38:18 | 20 | 41 |
| 7 | Kabylie | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Ben Aknoun | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | ASO Chlef | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 25:26 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Khenchela | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | USM Alger | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 29 |
| 13 | Rouisset | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Paradou | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | Mostaganem | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:42 | -27 | 17 |
| 16 | El Bayadh ✔ | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
El Bayadh is Relegated to Ligue 2
