Result
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Utebo
62.9% | Draw
23.7% | Alfaro
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Utebo - Alfaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.35) |
3.84 ↓
(4.23) |
6.79 ↓
(7.9) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Utebo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Alfaro has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Utebo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Utebo is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Utebo will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utebo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Utebo won against Alfaro?
Utebo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Utebo?
Alfaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utebo - Alfaro were as follows:
05.10.2025
Alfaro
-
Utebo
1:0
15.02.2025
Utebo
-
Alfaro
2:0
06.10.2024
Alfaro
-
Utebo
4:2
05.03.2023
Alfaro
-
Utebo
1:2
15.10.2022
Utebo
-
Alfaro
2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 35:17 | 18 | 44 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Utebo FC | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 4 | Tudelano | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 38 |
| 5 | Sestao | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | Gernika | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 37 |
| 7 | UD Logrones | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 34 |
| 8 | Ebro | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 32 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | SD Logrones | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Ejea | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:33 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Basconia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:29 | -1 | 24 |
| 14 | Naxara | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24:33 | -9 | 24 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | Beasain | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 16 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16:36 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
