Result
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub |
Chances of winning
Alfaro
33.5% | Draw
32.7% | Utebo
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utebo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+20%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alfaro - Utebo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↓
(4.19) |
3.23 ↓
(3.7) |
3.13 ↑
(1.77) |
-5.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Alfaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Utebo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Utebo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Utebo has had a series of home games.
- Utebo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Utebo?
Alfaro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utebo won against Alfaro?
Utebo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Utebo were as follows:
15.02.2025
Utebo
-
Alfaro
2:0
06.10.2024
Alfaro
-
Utebo
4:2
05.03.2023
Alfaro
-
Utebo
1:2
15.10.2022
Utebo
-
Alfaro
2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Utebo FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Sestao | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | R. Union | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | SD Logrones | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Tudelano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Alaves B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Gernika | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Zaragoza B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ebro | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Ejea | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Mutilvera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Basconia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Eibar B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Alfaro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Beasain | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Naxara | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
