Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.88 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
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| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (272/337) | 86% (374/436) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.88 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.58 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 17 | 27 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (272/337) | 86% (374/436) |
| Long passes |
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| 36% (20/55) | 65% (31/48) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 51% (38/74) | 73% (81/111) |
| Crosses |
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| 30% (3/10) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.50 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
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| 9 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 27 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 85% (17/20) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
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| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.43 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.43 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Khamyok K. ⚽,
- 27', Bruno Baio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kempter M. ↓, Sawatlakhorn W. ↑,
- 46', Playnum W. ↓, Stewart H. ↑,
- 53', Khamyok K. 🟨,
- 55', Angha M. 🟨,
- 62', Davis B. ↓, Meethoum A. ↑,
- 62', Eisa M. ↓, Leandro Ribeiro ↑,
- 68', Bruno Baio 🟨,
- 73', Panthong S. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
- 77', Weidersjo W. ↓, Naksawat N. ↑,
- 84', Do T. 🟨,
- 85', Ahannach A. ↓, Kraikruan S. ↑,
- 86', Willian Popp 🟨,
- 88', Willian Popp ↓, Lorenzen M. ↑,
- 90', Doloh A. ↓, Smart D. ↑,
- 90+4', Pipatnadda K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United 43.4% | Draw 27.2% | Uthai Thani 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Uthai Thani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uthai Thani than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Muangthong United - Uthai Thani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.98) |
3.39 ↓ (3.46) |
3.14 ↓ (3.28) |
8.6% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 2.
- Muangthong United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Uthai Thani has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Muangthong United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Uthai Thani has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Uthai Thani?
Muangthong United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Uthai Thani won against Muangthong United?
Uthai Thani has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Uthai Thani were as follows:
08.11.2025
Uthai Thani
-
Muangthong United
3:1
20.04.2025
Uthai Thani
-
Muangthong United
1:1
13.04.2025
Muangthong United
-
Uthai Thani
2:0
03.04.2024
Muangthong United
-
Uthai Thani
5:2
28.10.2023
Uthai Thani
-
Muangthong United
4:2
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Uthai Thani
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 69:23 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:36 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 26 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 32:43 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )